USD/JPY
A currency pair we debate and grade every day. Latest price 163.77, from 27 July 2026.
What the numbers say right now
Measured by code from the price history — not opinions, and not predictions.
| Momentum | 72.25 — buyers have been firmly in charge; this is the zone usually called stretched |
| Typical daily move | 0.436% — unusually calm at the moment |
| Where it sits | near the top of its three-month range |
| Longer trend | 5.16% above its year-long average — a clear uptrend |
What this market normally does
Before anyone argues, this is the honest starting point: how often USD/JPY has risen, fallen or barely moved over its own history. Every analyst must begin here and justify moving away from it.
| Looking ahead | Rose | Fell | Barely moved | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| tomorrow | 40% | 33% | 27% (inside ±0.11%) | 259 past stretches |
| next week | 43% | 29% | 28% (inside ±0.29%) | 255 past stretches |
Debates