US 10-Year Treasury Yield
A interest rate we debate and grade every day. Latest price 4.6410, from 27 July 2026.
What the numbers say right now
Measured by code from the price history — not opinions, and not predictions.
| Momentum | 59.61 — mildly favouring buyers |
| Typical daily move | 1.203% — about normal for this market |
| Where it sits | near the top of its three-month range |
| Longer trend | 8.81% above its year-long average — a clear uptrend |
What this market normally does
Before anyone argues, this is the honest starting point: how often US 10-Year Treasury Yield has risen, fallen or barely moved over its own history. Every analyst must begin here and justify moving away from it.
| Looking ahead | Rose | Fell | Barely moved | Based on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| tomorrow | 37% | 35% | 27% (inside ±0.30%) | 259 past stretches |
| next week | 36% | 33% | 31% (inside ±0.67%) | 255 past stretches |
Debates
No debates yet — this market is on the daily list and will be argued over every day once the platform is live.